Conf = ACC ------ State = C
Mascot = Blue Devils ------ Coach = John DanowskiGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 98.1423187 home-field advantage = -0.97 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 202 H Bellarmine ASUN ( 5-11, 88.0) 23- 8 206 H Utah ASUN ( 9- 5, 94.2) 14- 7 215 H Vermont America East ( 7- 7, 90.9) 22- 6 221 H Jacksonville ASUN (11- 6, 94.9) 16-10 301 H St Josephs (PA) Atlantic 10 ( 7- 6, 94.1) 12- 6 307 A Air Force ASUN ( 7- 8, 90.5) 21- 6 314 N Providence Big East ( 8- 9, 91.8) 21- 5 322 H Denver Big East ( 6- 8, 93.9) 8- 7 328 A Syracuse ACC (13- 6, 97.6) 15-16 404 H Virginia ACC (10- 7, 97.5) 10-14 411 N Cornell Ivy (11- 5, 97.5) 7- 9 418 H Notre Dame ACC (13- 3, 99.3) 6- 7 425 A North Carolina ACC (13- 5, 97.9) 16-12 509 A Richmond Atlantic 10 (14- 2, 98.0) 14-12 517 N Georgetown Big East (11- 5, 97.0) 16- 6 523 N Princeton Ivy (17- 2, 99.9) 7-14
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 202 H Bellarmine 23- 8 15 11 0.00 206 H Utah 14- 7 7 4 + 2.10 215 H Vermont 22- 6 16 8 0.00 221 H Jacksonville 16-10 6 4 1.77 301 H St Josephs (PA) 12- 6 6 5 0.94 307 A Air Force 21- 6 15 6 0.37 314 N Providence 21- 5 16 6 0.67 322 H Denver 8- 7 1 5 -- -4.23 328 A Syracuse 15-16 -1 0 -0.56 404 H Virginia 10-14 -4 1 -- -5.66 411 N Cornell 7- 9 -2 0 - -2.66 418 H Notre Dame 6- 7 -1 0 -0.85 425 A North Carolina 16-12 4 0 ++ 4.71 509 A Richmond 14-12 2 0 + 2.82 517 N Georgetown 16- 6 10 1 ++ 5.82 523 N Princeton 7-14 -7 -1 -- -5.25UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 322 H Denver 8- 7 1 5 -- -4.23 404 H Virginia 10-14 -4 1 -- -5.66 523 N Princeton 7-14 -7 -1 -- -5.25 411 N Cornell 7- 9 -2 0 - -2.66OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 425 A North Carolina 16-12 4 0 ++ 4.71 517 N Georgetown 16- 6 10 1 ++ 5.82 206 H Utah 14- 7 7 4 + 2.10 509 A Richmond 14-12 2 0 + 2.82
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 98.15 Power Rank................. 4 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 88.58 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 10 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6912 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 8 RPI Rating............... .6371 RPI Rank................... 6 Champ. Probability ...... 7.8 Championship Rank ......... 3 Selection sum ........... 20 Selection Rank ............ 7 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 70. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 7 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 75. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 6 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 14.2 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 9.1 Wins/Losses(all )...... 11- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 5.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 15.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 15.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 7.2 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.7