Conf = ACC
Nickname = NC Blue Devil Coach = John DanowGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 98.3927612 home-field advantage = -0.59 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 203 H Bellarmine ASUN ( 9- 8, 88.8) 20-12 210 A High Point Atlantic 10 ( 9- 6, 92.5) 21- 9 217 H St Josephs (PA) Atlantic 10 (10- 3, 94.8) 19-10 223 H Jacksonville ASUN (12- 4, 91.6) 23- 7 301 H Penn Ivy ( 8- 5, 94.9) 12-14 303 H Princeton Ivy ( 9- 4, 96.6) 17- 8 309 A Loyola (MD) Patriot ( 7- 8, 93.5) 16-10 313 H Providence Big East ( 7- 7, 92.4) 21- 6 316 A Richmond Atlantic 10 ( 9- 5, 94.7) 12- 3 320 A Syracuse ACC (11- 4, 98.4) 4-10 324 N Denver Big East (11- 2, 96.7) 11- 7 327 H Boston University Patriot ( 9- 6, 94.2) 11-10 407 H Notre Dame ACC (10- 1, 99.9) 12-15 414 H Virginia ACC (10- 4, 98.6) 18-12 427 A North Carolina ACC ( 7- 7, 95.1) 12-15 503 N Syracuse ACC (11- 4, 98.4)
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 203 H Bellarmine 20-12 8 10 0.00 210 A High Point 21- 9 12 5 1.72 217 H St Josephs (PA) 19-10 9 4 + 2.82 223 H Jacksonville 23- 7 16 7 0.00 301 H Penn 12-14 -2 4 --- -6.07 303 H Princeton 17- 8 9 2 ++ 4.66 309 A Loyola (MD) 16-10 6 4 1.66 313 H Providence 21- 6 15 6 0.40 316 A Richmond 12- 3 9 3 + 3.88 320 A Syracuse 4-10 -6 0 -- -5.42 324 N Denver 11- 7 4 1 + 2.29 327 H Boston University 11-10 1 4 - -3.80 407 H Notre Dame 12-15 -3 0 - -2.07 414 H Virginia 18-12 6 0 ++ 5.62 427 A North Carolina 12-15 -3 2 -- -5.69UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 301 H Penn 12-14 -2 4 --- -6.07 320 A Syracuse 4-10 -6 0 -- -5.42 427 A North Carolina 12-15 -3 2 -- -5.69 327 H Boston University 11-10 1 4 - -3.80 407 H Notre Dame 12-15 -3 0 - -2.07OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 303 H Princeton 17- 8 9 2 ++ 4.66 414 H Virginia 18-12 6 0 ++ 5.62 217 H St Josephs (PA) 19-10 9 4 + 2.82 316 A Richmond 12- 3 9 3 + 3.88 324 N Denver 11- 7 4 1 + 2.29
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 98.38 Power Rank................. 3 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 87.75 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 7 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6716 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 5 RPI Rating............... .6659 RPI Rank................... 3 Champ. Probability ...... 8.0 Championship Rank ......... 4 Selection sum ........... 12 Selection Rank ............ 4 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 60. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 6 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 75. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 4 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 15.3 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 9.9 Wins/Losses(all )...... 11- 4 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 5.4 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 8.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 4.5 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 4.3 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 0.0